Advanced Training in Economic Analysis and Management: Module 4 – Regional Economics
April 20-24, 2015 – OCP Policy Center, Rabat, Morocco
Lecturer: Prof. Eduardo Haddad – University of Sao Paulo (Brazil)
Eduardo A. Haddad is Full Professor at the Department of Economics at the University of Sao Paulo, Brazil, where he directs the Regional and Urban Economics Lab (NEREUS). He also holds a position as Affiliate Research Professor at the Regional Economics Applications Laboratory – REAL – at the University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, USA. Haddad has published widely in professional journals on regional and interregional input-output analysis, computable general equilibrium modeling, and various aspects of regional economic development in developing countries; he has also contributed with chapters in international books in the fields of regional science and economic development. His research focuses on large-scale modeling of multi-regional economic systems, with special interest in modeling integration applied to transportation, climate change and spatial interaction. Professor Haddad received his B.A. in Economics from the Federal University of Minas Gerais, Brazil, in 1993 and his Ph.D. in Economics from the University of Illinois at Urban-Champaign in 1997. In 1998 he held a post-doctoral position at the University of Oxford. He has served as the president of the Brazilian Regional Science Association (2008-2010), and as the first president of the Regional Science Association of the Americas (2008-2010). He was the Director of Research of the Institute of Economic Research Foundation – FIPE – from 2005 to 2013. He is currently on sabbatical as a visitor at the Department of Economics (International Economics Section) at Princeton University, and at the Edward J. Bloustein School of Public Policy and Planning at Rutgers University.
Course Outline
This course will introduce students to some of the commonly-used tool kits in regional economics that help understanding and interpreting the complexity of the spatial structure of sub-national economies. Emphasis in the course will be given to the analysis of integrated inter-regional systems. I have selected some of the various available techniques, ranging from spatial data analysis and classical Leontief input-output analysis to inter-regional computable general equilibrium modeling, which constitutes nowadays one of the main research frontiers in regional modeling. In addition to presenting the bases of the selected methods, I will discuss applications for different countries (Brazil, Colombia, Egypt, Lebanon, Morocco and Portugal) related to topics of interest for regional policy makers, including regional economic development, domestic and international trade, transportation infrastructure, exploitation of natural resources, climate change, government transfers, tourism and regional interdependence.
Program
Day 1 (April 20) – Spatial Data
9:15–10:30: Measures of Concentration, Specialization, and Localization
10:30-10h50: Coffee break
10:50-12:15: Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis (ESDA) – Geovisualization Tutorial
Lunch
14:00-15:30: Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis (ESDA) – Global Spatial Autocorrelation
15:30-15:50: Coffee Break
15:50-17:15: Exploratory Spatial Data Analysis (ESDA) – Local Spatial Autocorrelation
Day 2 (April 21) – Economic Impact Analysis
9:15–10:30: Economic Base Models
10:30-10h50: Coffee break
10:50-12:15: Input-Output Models Text
Lunch
14:00-15:30: Inter-regional Input-Output Models Text
15:30-15:50: Coffee Break
15:50-17:15: Application: Tourism Multipliers (Azores and Brazil) Paper1 Paper2
Day 3 (April 22) – Economic Impact Analysis
9:15–10:30: CGE Models
10:30-10h50: Coffee break
10:50-12:15: Inter-regional CGE Models Text
Lunch
14:00-15:30: Application: Climate Change (Brazil and Lebanon) Paper1 Paper2 Paper3
15:30-15:50: Coffee Break
15:50-17:15: Application: Natural Resources (Brazil and VALE) Paper
Day 4 (April 23) – Trade and Networks
9:15–10:30: Application: Trade Liberalization (Colombia) Paper
10:30-10h50: Coffee break
10:50-12:15: Application: Domestic Integration (Colombia, Egypt and Lebanon) Paper1 Paper2 Paper3
Lunch
14:00-15:30: Application: Port Infrastructure (Brazil) / Unexpected Events (Lebanon) Paper1 Paper2
15:30-15:50: Coffee Break
15:50-17:15: Application: Government Transfers as Regional Policies (Brazil) Paper1 Paper2
Day 5 (April 24) – Mobility, Accessibility and Productivity in Inter-regional Systems
9:15–10:30: Application: Intra-Urban Transportation Infrastructure – Passengers (Sao Paulo Metropolitan Area) Paper
10:30-10h50: Coffee break
10:50-12:15: Application: Inter-regional Transportation Infrastructure – Cargo (Minas Gerais, Brazil) Paper
Lunch
14:30-16:00: Application: Tourism Infrastructure and Mega-Sport Events (Brazil) Paper
16:00-16:15: Coffee Break
16:15-17:30: Application: Network Analysis (Brazil) / Regionalization (Morocco) Paper
Course Material
Students should download and install the software GeoDa and bring it in their computers in the first day of the course.
Examples Measures: Excel
Examples GeoDa: ZIP file
Examples IO: Excel (check also https://guilhotojjmgen.wordpress.com/), Lebanon, Brazil SP-RB Brazil PA-RB
Example CGE: Hierarchical Analysis
Lectures: Lecture 1 – Introduction, Lecture 2 – Classic Measures, Lecture 3 -ESDA, Lecture, 4 – Regional Impact Analysis, Lecture 5 – Input-Output Models, Lecture 6 – Economic Base, Lecture 7 – Domestic Tourism, Lecture 8 – CGE Models, Lecture 9 – Climate Change, Lecture 10 – Natural Resources, Lecture 11 – Trade Liberalization, Lecture 12 – Domestic Integration, Lecture 13 – Port Infrastructure, Lecture 14 – Unexpected Events, Lecture 15 – Cash Transfers, Lecture 16 – Intergovernmental Transfers, Lecture 17 – Urban Infrastructure, Lecture 18 – Transportation Plans, Lecture 19 – Tourism Infrastructure, Lecture 20 – Mega-Sport Events, Lecture 21 – Scientific Networks
References
The Underground Economy: Tracking the Higher-order Economic Impacts of the São Paulo Subway System
Haddad, E. A., Hewings, G. J. D., Porsse, A. A., Van Leeuwen, E., and Vieira, R. S.. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, v. 73, p. 18-30, 2015.
Economic Impacts of Natural Disasters in Megacities: The Case of Floods in São Paulo, Brazil
Haddad, E. A., and Teixeira, E.. Habitat International, v. 45, p. 106-113, 2015
Multipliers in an Island Economy: The Case of the Azores
Haddad, E. A., Silva, V., Porsse, A. A., and Dentinho, T. In: A. Batabyal and P. Nijkamp (Eds.), The Region and Trade: New Analytical Directions, World Scientific, p. 205-226, 2015
Spatial Perspectives of Increasing Freeness of Trade in Lebanon
Haddad, E. A.. The Annals of Regional Science, v.53, n. 1, p. 23-54, 2014.
Economic Impacts of Natural Resources on a Regional Economy: The Case of the Pre-Salt Oil Discoveries in Espírito Santo, Brazil
Haddad, E. A., and Giuberti, A. C.. Economy of Region, v. 1, p. 111-124, 2014.
Climate Change in Lebanon: Higher-order Regional Impacts from Agriculture
Haddad, E. A., Farajalla, N., Camargo, M., Lopes, R. L., and Vieira, F. V.. Region, v. 1, p. 9-24, 2014.
Domestic Tourism and Regional Inequality in Brazil
Haddad, E. A., Porsse, A. A., and Rabahy, W. A.. Tourism Economics, v. 19, p. 173-186, 2013.
Impact Assessment of Interregional Government Transfers: Lessons from the Brazil Experience
Haddad, E. A., Luque, C. A., Lima, G. T., Sakurai, S. N and Costa, S. M., In: J. R. Cuadrado-Roura and P. Aroca (Eds.), Regional Problems and Policies in Latin America, Advances in Spatial Science, Springer Verlag, p. 475-493, 2013
Climate Change and the Future of Regions
Azzoni, C. R. and Haddad, E. A.. In: R. Capello and T. P. Dentinho (Eds.). Networks, Space and Competitiveness: Evolving Challenges for Sustainable Growth. Edward Elgar Publishing, 2012.
Regional Integration in Colombia: A Spatial CGE Application
Haddad, E. A., Barufi, A. M. B., Costa, S. M.. Scienze Regionali / Italian Journal of Regional Science, v.10, p. 3-28, 2011.
Assessing the ex ante Economic Impacts of Transportation Infrastructure Policies in Brazil
Haddad, E. A.; Perobelli, F. S.; Domingues, E. P.; Aguiar, M.. Journal of Development Effectiveness, v. 3, no.1, p. 44-61, 2011.
Major Sport Events and Regional Development: The Case of the Rio de Janeiro 2016 Olympic Games
Haddad, E. A. e Haddad, P. R.. Regional Science Policy and Practice, v. 2, p. 79-95, 2010.
Regional Effects of Port Infrastructure: A Spatial CGE Application to Brazil
Haddad, E. A., Hewings, G. J. D., Perobelli, F. S. e dos Santos, R. A. C.. International Regional Science Review, v. 33, p. 239-263, 2010.
Spatial Aspects of Trade Liberalization in Colombia: A General Equilibrium Approach
Haddad, E. A., Bonet, J., Hewings, G.J.D. e Perobelli, F.S.. Papers in Regional Science, v. 88, p. 699-732, 2009.
Input-Output Analysis: Foundations and Extensions
Miller, R, and Blair P., 2nd Edition. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 2009.
Interregional Computable General Equilibrium Models
Haddad, E. A.. In: Sonis, M.; Hewings, G. J. D. (Org.). Tool Kits in Regional Science: Theory, Models and Estimation, Berlin: Springer, p. 119-154, 2009.
Exploring Spatial Data with GeoDa: A Workbook
Anselin, L., Spatial Analysis Laboratory, Department of Geography, University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign, Revised Version, March 6, 2005.
Notes and Problems in Applied General Equilibrium Economics
Dixon, P.B.,Parmenter, B.R., Powell, A. A. and Wilcoxen, P. J., Amsterdam, North-Holland, 1992.
Notes and Problems in Microeconomic Theory
Dixon, P.B.,Bowles, S. and Kendrick, D., Amsterdam, North-Holland, 1980.