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International Workshop on General Equilibrium Modeling: Applications for the Chilean Economy

Place: Universidad Adolfo Ibañez, Viña del Mar, Chile

Date: December 3-5, 2018

Coordination: Patricio Aroca and Eduardo A. Haddad

Program

Day 1 (December 3) – CGE Modeling at ECLAC (CEPAL)

15:00-17:30 – Meeting with Carlos de Miguel and Maurício Pereira

Day 2 (December 4) - Perspectives in Input-output and CGE Modeling for Chile

9:00-9:15 – Introduction and opening remarks, Patricio Aroca

9:15-9:45 – “Tool Kits in Multi-regional and Multi-sectoral General Equilibrium Modeling for Chile”, Eduardo A. Haddad

9:45-10:15 – “From the Desert to the Glaciers: Exploring Interregional Connections of the Chilean Economy”, Denise L. Li

10:15-10:45 – “Trade in Natural Resources in the Interregional Input-Output System for Chile”, Keyi A. Ussami

10:45-11:00 – Comments, Patricio Aroca

11:00-11:15 – Coffee break

11:15-11:45 – “A Bad Year? Climate Variability and the Wine Industry in Chile”, Ademir A. M. Rocha

11:45-12:15 – “Propagation of Productivity Shocks in the Mining Sector: A General Equilibrium Approach”, Karina S. Sass

12:15-12:45 – “Impacts of the Proposal for an Additional Royalty Payment for Copper and Lithium Miners in Chile”, Sofia M. Arantes

12:45-13:00 – Comments, Felipe Morales and Javier Fernández

13:00-15:00 – Lunch

15:00-15:30 – “Systemic Resilience to Climate Shocks: Impacts of a Drought in Central Chile”, Bruno P. P. Pimenta

15:30-16:00 –“Forecasting Regional Performance under Uncertainty about International Prices”, Lucas C. C. Dias

16:00-16:30 – “Fiscal Multipliers in Interregional IO and CGE Models”, Raphael P. Fernandes

16:30-16:45 – Comments, Esteban Lopez Uchoa

16:45-17:15 – “The Road Ahead: CONYCIT-FAPESP Project”, Patricio Aroca and Eduardo A. Haddad

19:00-22:00 – Welcome Dinner

Day 3 (December 5) – Macro-Econometric Input-Output Model for the Chilean Mining Sector Analysis (CONICYT-BMBF Project)

9:00-9:15 – Introduction and opening remarks, Patricio Aroca, CEPR, Universidad Adolfo Ibáñez

9:15-10:00 – “Methodology and Design of a Macro-Econometric Input-Output Model for the Chilean Economy”, Anke Mönnig, GWS, Germany

10:00-10:40 – “Regionalization of the Chilean Model COFORCE: An IRIO Approach”. Annet Groβmann, GWS, Germany

10:40-11:20 – “The Impact of the Mining Tax over key Variables of Chilean Economy”, Juan Pedro Eberhard, CEPR, Universidad Adolfo Ibáñez, Chile

11:20-11:35 – Coffee break

11:35-12:15 – “Economic Assessment on the Changes in the Energy Sources on the Chilean Mining Sector”, Nicolás Garrido, Universidad Diego Portales, Santiago, Chile

12:15-12:30 – Comments by Eduardo A. Haddad

12:30-12:45 – Break

12:45-14:30 – Brown Bag

  • Contrasting results from CGE and Macro-Econometric IO Models
  • Closing Remarks and Next Steps by Patricio Aroca and Eduardo A. Haddad and Anke Mönnig
  • Closing Ceremony for Signature of MOU between NEREUS and CEPR, Patricio Aroca and Eduardo A. Haddad

15:00-19:00 – Technical Excursion (Winery “El Cuadro”, Casablanca Valley)

19:00-22:00 – Visit to Valparaíso


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